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Data Scaling Laws

Model quality improves predictably with data, and the improvement is a power law rather than a wall — which is what makes it plannable. The interesting regime now is being data-constrained rather than compute-constrained: the highest-quality text is finite, and repeating it works for a few epochs and then stops.

Viz primitive · loss-curvesteps = 2000 · lr = 0.002 · batch = 64 · params = 1
loss
step 02000

Loss over 2000 training steps, starting near 7.2. It falls to about 1.94, with 93% of the total improvement arriving in the first half.

Loss against training progress at a fixed data budget. Drag the model size up to watch the floor fall — and watch how little the last doubling buys, which is what a data constraint looks like from inside a training run.

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Reviewed by opendroid · 2026-08-18